My Personal
Longevity History (and Prejudices)
| Home |
What I'm
going to say here involves my personal biases, and I may have to eat my
words.
I've followed--albeit fitfully, and at considerable remove-- the progress of
longevity research for over sixty years, and I feel that it's getting ripe. The
alleviation of aging appears to me to be an easier nut to crack than either
nuclear energy or space flight. In the 1930's, Dr. Clifford C. Furnas, in his
1936 book, "The Next One Hundred Years", observed that the large-scale
release of "atomic" energy appeared to require the temperatures and
pressures that are present only at the center of the Sun, and that if this were
case, we would never be able to realize practical "atomic" power
on Earth. And there the matter stood until 1939, when Hahn and Meitner split the
uranium atom. (That event was like the knocking at the gate in "Macbeth",
although most of us remained ignorant of its occurrence until after the end of
World War II.)
Space flight was at least as implausible as the practical
release of nuclear energy. By 1939, the highest any rocket had flown was Dr.
"Looney" Goddard's last rocket, which reached 9,000 feet. It was a
long way from there to the moon. Furthermore, using the fuels of the day, to
escape from the Earth's gravitational attraction, the ratio of the weight of the
rocket at launch to the weight of the empty rocket after all its fuel had been
expended would have to have been around 10,000-to-1... an absurd idea! On top of
that the experts said), in a vacuum, the rocket would have nothing to push
against. And there that matter stood, until 1944, when the first V-2
careened into London.
As a space flight booster from childhood on, I suffered from
the negativity and scorn of the "experts", I was persona non grata in
graduate school in physics--until Sputnik captured everyone's attention, and big
bucks began to flow into the field. All of a sudden, it became very respectable.
I suspect that this will be the same way. One has to ignore the ankle-biters and
the tinkers' chorus of nay-sayers and concentrate upon the doing of the deeds. After all,
there are four stages in the introduction of any new idea:
(1) "It can't be done."
(2) "Maybe it can be done, but who would want to do it?"
(3) "All right, it's been done, but that's the last you'll ever hear of
it."
(4) "I've been saying all along that this was the way to go, and see? I was
right!"
In the chapter on the future of biology in his "The Next
One Hundred Years", Dr. Furnas says that what we really need from
biologists is an understanding of photosynthesis or of how to subdue aging, but
all the biologists are interested in (as of 1936) is mapping the sex life of the
earthworm or discovering a new species of mulberry tree,. In the meantime, we
keep dying.