Must We Grow Old?
Biologists are rapidly closing
in on the secrets of aging.
One group of research gerontologists has set
as its publicly announced goal the demonstration of the reversal of aging in a
mouse by about 40% by 2012. See:
Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence (SENS) I (http://research.mednet.ucla.edu/pmts/sens/sens1.htm)
Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence (SENS) II (http://research.mednet.ucla.edu/pmts/sens/sens2.htm)
"Time to Talk SENS: Critqueing the Immutability of Human Aging"
"Is human aging still mysterious enough to be left only to
scientists?" (http://research.mednet.ucla.edu/pmts/sens/sen2article.htm)
These gerontologists are trying to get
the word to the world that aging reversal--not just aging retardation--
is imminent, and that the public needs to be aware of it, since there are
questions that need to be answered before this technology suddenly looms large.
Caloric Restriction
It was demonstrated in 1935 that caloric
restriction will slow the rate of aging in rats by an amount roughly
proportional to the degree of caloric restriction. Innumerable experiments since
that time have shown the same "youth extension" through caloric
restriction in every organism with which it's been tried. Several "longevinauts",
following the lead of Dr. Roy Walford, are trying this approach to the
retardation of aging. In the meantime, a study of caloric restriction in
primates is underway at two locations, and preliminary results suggest that the
same kinds of effects observed in other mammals are taking place with the
primates.
The Methuselah Gene
A Harvard spin-off is trying to bring to market a product or
products designed around the "Methuselah" gene that confers long lives
upon centenarians.
Will You Live Longer, and Prosper?
I believe that the conquest of aging is feasible, and if it's
feasible, it will be accomplished somewhere by someone sometime.
The bottom line is that you might want to keep
in the back of your head the possibility of a longer life than most of us have
planned. How rapidly this happens depends upon how much effort is expended to
make it happen. But the public needs to be apprised of the fact that the
retardation and/or reversal of aging is possible, and that it's getting
ready to happen. (In a sense, it's already happening.)
How Can Babies Be Born Young?
Have you ever wondered how babies can be born
young when the cells that give rise to them may be from 15 to 70 years old? We
know of no way to totally rejuvenate either cells or people. Why aren't babies
born with an age that's some sort of average of the ages of the cells that
created it?
It's clear that every species must have some way of making
brand-spanking-new copies of its kind across countless generations. Deviations
(mutations) in the genetic specifications defining the species may occur,
but partial aging of new organisms cannot be allowed to accumulate. Otherwise,
life on Earth (and we ourselves) wouldn't be here.
So what's happening?
Nature Must Know the Secret of Total
Rejuvenation
It's clear that Nature has some means of
completely rejuvenating organisms at the time of the reproduction cycle, so that
their offspring have their biological clocks reset to zero.
The contents of the documents may change, but they will
always be printed on new paper.
What's so striking about this is that
(1) It has to be perfect! If there were any cumulative aging passed
on to succeeding generations, they would eventually be created too old to
survive.
(2) This has to be present for every life form on this planet from
their first instantiation onward. Otherwise, they wouldn't be here.
That means that we're looking for machinery that may be found in the simplest,
archeozoic prokaryote to the most modern, complex eukaryote.
It has to be happening in unicellular life forms, as well as
in multicellular organisms that reproduce sexually or parthenogenically.
To say it again, Nature has been perfectly rejuvenating
organisms under our very noses since time immemorial!
So how can we learn how to do this?
One approach might be to examine the simplest organisms.
I first became cognizant of this reality when I read Advanced
Cell Technology's announcement, in April, 2000, that they had successfully
cloned eight calves. What seemed striking to me in that press release was the
fact that the egg cells were enucleated, and that somatic cells from a very old
cow were implanted in them in lieu of spermatozoa. Somehow, the rejuvenation
process took place in its customary way, and the calves were born with longer
telomeres than calves produced in the conventional way.
This raises a question or two:
(1) Since the nuclei of the egg cells were no longer present, the old and
damaged nuclei of the somatic cells from the old cow must somehow have been
reconstituted so that they were young again. More specifically, their telomeres
were re-established. Another crucial question might be: was genetic damage to
these nuclei completely reversed?
(2) How did the somatic cells know that they were in egg cells?
(3) Something in the cytoplasm of the egg cells must have triggered the
rejuvenation cycles, since the oöcyte's nuclei was no longer present.
(4) The rejuvenation cycles must have occurred rapidly, either in the
"fertilized zygotes" prior to mitosis, or in the daughter cells
immediately after mitosis.
This Reconstitution Process Must Occur in
Protozoa As Well As In Multicellular Organisms
This process must also take place in
unicellular organisms that reproduce by parthenogenesis. Either they have intrinsic
maintenance mechanisms that keep them always in the pink of condition, or
reconstitution must occur when they divide. In other words, either cells
that reproduce are immortal and perfectly self-repairing, or perfect
rejuvenation occurs when the cell reproduces.
The first possibility, that germ plasm is immortal, was
advanced by Weisman in 1891.
More recently, Leonard Hayflick ("Mortality and
Immortality at the Cellular Level", Biochemistry (Moscow), Vol. 62
(1997), No. 11, http://puma.protein.bio.msu.su/biokhimiya/contents/v62/full/62111380.htm)
has argued that unicellular organisms are mortal, and that rejuvenation only
occurs when there is the periodic exchange or reorganization of genetic
material).
The importance of this distinction is that if certain cells
rejuvenate when they divide, we could look for a sudden cascade of DNA and
protein repair enzymes, and other restorative molecules within the cell when it
prepares to divide.
If not, then we have to examine the differences between
immortal cells, and cells that don't eliminate aging when they divide.
Dr. Michael West (CEO of Applied Cell Technology) discusses
it in the interview (http://www.megafoundation.org/Ubiquity/West.html ) "On
Living Forever" that he gave in the June, 2000, issue of Ubiquity Magazine.
So the information is out there. The only question is: why don't you hear more
about it? To me, it was a revelation on a par with Hahn and Strassman's
splitting of the uranium atom in 1939... a discovery so momentous that
governments of that era raced to capitalize upon it. The $$$ involved in total
rejuvenation would be mind-boggling, together with momentous implications for
society.. My guess is that even if this can occur only in fertilized ova, there
are mechanisms--e. g., DNA repair mechanisms--that can probably be pressed into
service to rejuvenate adult cells. Of course, neurons and myocytes are
post-mitotic, and don't divide, so they might be restored to a virgin state, but
I wouldn't expect missing cells to be replaced. That would require some other
maneuver... viz., stem cell infusions.
Some Mechanisms of Aging
Aging is now considered to be almost entirely a byproduct of
energy generation in the mitochondria. This is where most free radicals are
generated, as carbohydrates, and to a lesser degree, fats and proteins are
burned to power the cells.
Carbohydrates are now considered more dangerous than
fats.
Telomeres - The
DNA Replication Counter
One of the mechanisms of aging is the "replication
counter" embodied in the telomeres. The telomeres are caps on the ends of
chromosomes that keep them from fraying. For differentiated, dividing cells, the
telomeres shorten each time the cell divides. Eventually, the telomeres become
very short, and irregularities in cell division and function begin to occur.
Finally, the telomeres vanish, and further cell division is impossible. The
maximum number of divisions allowed varies from species to species. In humans,
about 80 to 90 divisions are possible in vitro.
The telomeres can be restored with a ribonucleoprotein called
telomerase.Telomerase is missing in most human somatic cells, although
it's present in human germ cells and in cancer cells.
However, telomeres don't normally get short enough in humans
to halt cell division. Also, the post-mitotic (non-dividing) cells found
in central nervous tissue and muscle tissue don't divide, anyway, so any
aging that occurs in them must have nothing to do with the shortening of the
telomeres (although a loss of effectiveness of supporting tissue could hamper
them).
You wonder why the body can't be
flooded with a one-time shot of telomerase to lengthen the telomeres on the ends
of the chromosomes. Since cancer cells generate telomerase, there has been
concern that administering telomerase might promote cancer. ("All algae are
green. Therefore, everything that's green must be algae.") But germ cells
and some rapidly-dividing cells of the body, such as hematopoietic cells in the
bone marrow, and keratinocytes in the skin, generate telomerase without becoming
malignant. Cancer cells already produce their own telomerase, so they shouldn't
be affected by an exogenous perfusion of telomerase. Experiments in mice should
show what would happen if you tried this, but so far, I haven't found any such
experiments.
Glycation -
Damage to Proteins
Glycation is sometimes called the
"browning" reaction because it's like the browning of meat, or the
yellowing of paper. Cross-linking of the proteins contributes strongly to
cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, arthritis, stiffening of the skin,
cataracts, complications of diabetes, and Alzheimer's Disease. Aspirin and
carnosine seem to slow the development of Advanced Glycation End products (AGE's).
Crosslink breakers similar to vitamin B1 are under development. The furthest
along is 3-phenacyl-4,5-dimethlthiazolium chloride, developed by Alteon
Pharmaceuticals and showing promise in Phase 2 clinical trials.
Lipofucsin (Sludge) Build-Up in
the Lysosomes (Recycling Plants) of Cells
Lipofucsin or ceroid is a highly cross-linked product found
in the lysosomes or recycling plants of non-dividing cells. This indigestible
sludge builds up until it can interfere with the recycling of waste products in
the cell, and may even cause leakage of the highly reactive breakdown enzymes
from the lysosomes into the surrounding cytoplasm, with harmful results.
Mutated Mitochondrial DNA
The mitochondria are the powerhouses of cells, converting
sugars into a form that can be used to fuel cells. The mitochondria and the
lysosomes are "hot spots" within the cell containing very corrosive
molecules. If they don't function properly, they can cause a lot of mischief.
What's Available for You Right Now for
the Possible Retardation of Aging?
Total rejuvenation is an extreme case
of the gradual extension of the life span and of the "youth span" of
the average person that has occurred over the past few hundred years. Various
forms of additional extension of the average life span are possible,
ranging from better health habits, to caloric restriction, to, possibly, some
kinds of "prolongevity" interventions.
Are Our Lifespans Written in Our
Genes?
I don't have a solid answer to that. A search on Google for
"identical twins"/lifespan yielded conflicting results. A couple of
reports said that 35% of lifespan variability is genetically determined, and 65%
is environmentally modulated. On average, twins dates of death are 7 years
apart. On the other hand, 60% of all centenarians had at least one close
relative who had also been a centenarian. In my own family, there was one uncle
who smoked like a furnace and drank like a fish until he was 77, Then his doctor
told him he could either quit or die. He chose to quit, and died at 90. He had a
younger brother who died in his early 70's of a stroke. Aunt Florence was a
health food enthusiast and died at 94. Uncle Glen was still cracking jokes and
driving his truck until a few days before he died (of a stroke) at 94. He
scoffed at health foods, and loved meat, potatoes, and gravy. There was Aunt Ava,
who was very overweight and loved pop tarts. It eventually killed her, at 95.
But Aunt Gertrude died at 76, of breast cancer.
Of course, there's no way of knowing whether Uncle Glen and
Aunt Ava could have lived a few years longer had they taken better care of their
health.
I think there's something to the genetic model, but I think
that environment also plays a role. Alcoholics and high rollers often die in
their forties. Lung cancer often hits in the fifties and sixties. And when it
comes to these supplements, we're on virgin ground. In animal studies, feeding
animals antioxidants elevates the average age of death, but not the maximum life
span. However, raising the average life span (if indeed they can do this) would
be quite fine. Here. though, some of these supplements might possibly
modulate the rate of aging, since they contain more than merely antioxidants.
Diabetes was a certain death sentence in 1900. Today, many
diabetics can control their diabetes with diet alone. In 1900, a family history
of hypertension or heart disease was an almost certain sentence of early death.
Today, there's a great deal we can do to extend the lifespans of people with
such predispositions, even to the point of achieving normal lifespans.
What I believe is that better diet and medical interventions
may reduce your risks of cancer, cardiovascular disease, Alzheimer's Disease,
and Parkinson's Disease. And right now, the name of the game is to hold on while
improvements in aging intervention appear.
The Guidelines Are Shifting From
Low-Fat to Low-Calorie
Twenty years ago, the dietary emphasis for healthy living was
centered around low-fat diets. Low-fat diets are still "in", but the
principal cause of aging is now considered to lie in the calories that we
consume. Free radicals, primarily involving oxygen, and primarily produced by
energy generation in the mitochondria, are considered to be to the drivers of
aging. The ingestion of various kinds of antioxidants is a crucial component of
early 21st-century aging-mitigation programs.
Let's see what's out there for you
now, and what's in the pipeline for the near future.
First of all, you can extend your youth span by avoiding
activities that are obviously harmful to you. For example, sunlight is
devastating to your skin. A tan (not just a sunburn) is a mark of DNA damage to
your skin.
Second, you can eat foods that may protect you from cancer.
Generally, these are foods containing antioxidants, such as brightly colored
fruits and vegetables. New foods are being added as time goes by. Two servings
of fish a week are suggested, with one of them being one of the fatty thalassic
fish containing the omega-3 fatty acids, such as salmon, tuna, mackerel, or
whitefish (but not cod). (A British health watch organization has just warned
against eating more than one serving of fatty fish a week because of the PCB's,
dioxin, and mercury in them.)
Among the older recommended foods are broccoli, cabbage,
spinach, and carrots. Apples, oranges, purple grapes, and recently, strawberries
and blueberries have been added to this list. Green tea is being recommended for
its beneficial properties. (You can buy the essences of many of these fruits and
herbs at Walmart.)
Third, you can take nutritional supplements that may also,
hopefully, afford cancer protection as well as resistance to aging. Here, there
are as many expert opinions as there are experts. Three sets of recommendations
are presented in Table 1, below.
In the first column below
are Maximum Life Foundation's (http://www.maximumlife.org) daily dosage
recommendations of supplements, based upon suggestions from Dr. Lester Packer.
Dr. Karlis Ullis, and the Life Extension Foundation.
In the second column below are the daily supplements that
John Furber (http://members.aol.com/johnfurber/supplements.html) is taking.
The third column contains the ingredients in the Life
Extension Foundation's Life Extension Mix (http://www.lef.org/prod_desc/lifemixb.htm).
|
Ingredient |
Max Life |
John Furber |
Life Extension Mix |
| Beta Carotene | 5-20 mg. | 10,000 IU | |
| Vitamin B1 | 500 mg. | 200 mg. | 125 mg. |
| Vitamin B2 | 100 - 200 mg. | 200 mg. | 50 mg. |
| Vitamin B3 | 100-200 mg. | 300 mg. | 187 mg. |
| Niacinamide | 140 mg. | (Included above) | |
| Vitamin B5 | 500 - 1,500 mg. | 1,000 mg. | 600 mg. |
| Vitamin B6 | 250 mg. | 200 mg. | 100 mg. |
| Vitamin B12 | 300 - 500 mcg. | 200 mg. | 600 mcg. |
| Folic Acid | 800 mcg. with B12 | 1,600 mcg. | 800 mcg. |
| Vitamin C | 500 - 1,500 mg. | 3,000 mg. | 2,605 mg. |
| Ascorbyl Palmitate | 600 mg. | 250 mg. | |
| Citrus Bioflavenoids | 1,300 mg. | ||
| Vitamin D3 | 400 IU | 400 IU | |
| Vitamin E (mixed) | 500 mg. | 1,000 IU | 400 IU |
| Calcium | 1,345 mg. | 227 mg. | |
| Chromium | 200 - 400 mcg. | 200 mcg. | 200 mcg. |
| Magnesium | 592 mg. | 325 mg. | |
| Selenium | 200 - 400 mcg. | 150 mcg. | 200 mcg. |
| Zinc | 60 mg. | 35 mg. | |
| Copper | 1 mg. | ||
| Manganese | 5 mg. | ||
| Molybdenum | 125 mcg. | ||
| Coenzyme Q-10 | 30 - 90 mg. | 50 - 100 mg. | |
| Lutein | 1,000 mg. | 15 mg. | |
| Lycopene | 3 mg. | ||
| Carnosine | 100 mg. | ||
| N-Acetyl-i-Cysteine | 1,000 mg. | 600 mg. | |
| L-Lysine HCl | 900 mg. | 500 mg. | |
| Methionine | 120 mg. | ||
| L-Taurine | 500 mg. | ||
| L-Phenylalanine | 325 mg. | ||
| Phosphatidylcholine | 150 mg. | ||
| Lycopene | 45 mg. | ||
| Dilaurylthiodipropionate | 25 mg. | ||
| Thiodipropionic Acid | 25 mg. | ||
| Trimethylglycine | 100 mg. | ||
| Grape seed | 50 - 100 mg. | 50 mg. | |
| Gingko | 120 mg. | 240 mg. | |
| Green Tea | 300 - 1,200 Mg. | 1 cup | |
| Black Tea | 1 cup | ||
| Curcumin | 900 - 1,800 mg. | ||
| Glutathione | 300 - 400 mg. | ||
| Biotin | 400 mcg. | ||
| BHT | 500 mg. | ||
| Breaker 45C | 100 mg. | ||
| Alpha-Lipoic acid | 200 - 400 mg. | 500 mg. | |
| Acetyl-l-Carnitine | 100 - 2,000 mg. | 415 mg. | |
| Choline | 1,400 mg. | 117.5 mg. | |
| Inositol | 400 mg. | 250 mg. | |
| DMEA Bitartrate | 200 mg. | ||
| PABA | 200 mg. | 200 mg. | |
| Ibuprofen | 50 mg. | ||
| Melatonin | 500 mcg. | ||
| Bilberry | 100 - 200 mg. | 30 mg. | |
| Silymarin | 300 - 600 mg. | ||
| Flax Oil | 2 - 4 tablespoons | ||
| Saw Palmetto Extract | 160 mg. | ||
| Blueberries | 1/2 cup | ||
| Strawberries | 1/2 cup | ||
| Ginger Root Extract | 200 mg. | ||
| Acerola Juice Extract | 300 mg. | ||
| Alpha-Carotene | 1,000 mg. | ||
| Broccoli Complex | 500 mg. | ||
| Labiatae Extract | 300 mg. | ||
| Raspberry Leaf Extract | 130 mg. |
As
you can see, there's no universal agreement regarding what supplements one
should take.
One factor to consider is the cost of these "nutritionals".
Costs would eat you alive if you tried to buy all of these supplements
individually. For this reason, the "Life Extension Mix" from the Life
Extension Foundation sounds promising o me. It's advertised as costing $1.36 a
day (plus the annual cost of membership in the Life Extension Foundation). That
might sound like a lot, but when you consider the cost of buying even a fraction
of this at Walmart (let alone a health boutique), it begins to look like a
pretty good deal. I'm not prepared to recommend anything at this time because I
don't yet know that much about these choices.
In any case, if you're going to buy nutritional supplements,
and most people do these days, then the three of these supplement lists are
probably a better choice than what's available at Walmart.
You could probably find
all this at your local health food store, but it would cost you an arm and a
leg.
Exercise
Exercise--and this
includes strength-building exercise as well as aerobic exercise--is beginning to
receive star billing in the war on aging. It is being found to play a far more
important role in maintaining health than was realized ten years ago. (One of
the ideas that has been publicized for a long time is the fact that aerobic
exercise can seemingly take 20 years off the age of your cardiovascular system.
Of course, it doesn't really make your cardiovascular system 20 years younger,
nor should it replace the mitigation of high cholesterol levels and other risk
factors for cardiovascular disease.)
Dimericine
One product that is wending its way to market is Dimericine
("New cream may repair sun damage to skin",
archives.seattletimes.nwsource.com/cgi-bin/texis/web/vortex/display?slug=skin07&date=20010807&query=Dimericine).
Dimericine is a cream containing a DNA repair agent harvested from pelagic
bacteria and algae, and delivered via a viral transfection agent. Dimericine is
in Phase IV FDA testing, and has been shown to reduce the incidence of skin
cancers by about one-third, and of actinic keratoses by about two-thirds. The
company that developed it, Applied Genetics, Inc.--Dermatics, has licensed
cosmetic rights to a company called Elan Pharmaceuticals with the hope of
eventually including Dimericine in suntan lotions. (It may prove to be too
expensive for that purpose.) In the meantime, two companies are selling a
"DNA repair cream" (both are selling the same cream and are making the
same claim) that is ostensibly Dimericine, although they don't claim that on the
bottle. I'm trying it on my left hand, and on the left side of my face. The
results are too early to call just yet. The cream is very expensive, running $45
a bottle plus $10 S&H from Synergy, or £21.99 + £3.50 S&H from
Apple Healthcare in the UK.
Other "Dermaceuticals"
A companion
product was discussed on a recent ABC documentary. It would appear that
there are now several treatments that will actually reverse aging in skin.
Tommie Jean happened to be tuned in to the original TV program when it was shown
on ABC night before last. They showed before and after pictures taken in a
research study of a stem-cell cream, and pointed out the (visible) changes in
women's jaw lines and sagging jowls that were firmed up by their experimental
cream. There were also two other approaches described in the article and
presented visually in the TV special. I haven't tried them yet, but I may.
As I understand it, these biological agents partially and
"permanently" (for many years) reverse aging in skin. Of course, the
next question that crosses your mind is: What would happen if you were to take
it internally? I presume that's been attempted with animal models. (I certainly
wouldn't want to be the first one to try it.)
Acetyl-l-Carnitine and Alpha-Lipoic Acid
Dr.
Bruce Ames, et al, recently reported in three articles in the Proceedings of
the National Academy of Sciences that the simultaneous administration of two
naturally occurring food
supplements, acetyl-l-carnitine and alpha-lipoic acid, had extended the
maximum life spans of laboratory rats by about 50%. Dr. Ames and his colleagues
were repeating similar studies performed by other researchers, who obtained
similar results. Dr.
Ames is known for his Ames Test of Mutagenicity.)
Carnitine
and lipoic
acid are members of the B-vitamin family found in red meat.
Tommie and I have been taking acetyl-l-carnitine and alpha-lipoic
acid for about six months. Does it make a difference?
Of course, it's very hard to say. I don't know how we would
feel without it. (We've upped our dosage of acetyl-l-carnitine to 500 mg. a day
and of alpha-lipoic acid to 300 mg. a day, since this seems to be the
"going dosage".
Cosmetics as a
Showcase for Anti-Aging Technology
If there's one place where I would
expect to see anti-aging technology strut its stuff, it would be on milady's
face. And "see" is the operant word. With skin, you can see the
ravages of Father Time--and their remediations--at a glance. Furthermore, women
(and some men) are willing to pay great sums to improve their appearances. Add
to that the fact that applying something to a patch of skin is safer than
ingesting it, and you have three important ingredients that might drive
anti-aging technology.
Dr. Nicholas' Perricone's,
"The Wrinkle Cure"
Dr. Perricone is an Assistant Professor
of Dermatology at the Yale School of Medicine. He has written a book called,
"The Wrinkle Cure", available from Amazon.com for $11.(or $5.50 used).
He has experimented with "nutritional" supplements in retarding and
reversing age-related skin damage. (Most damage, he says, is photolytic.) He
includes general health in his appearance-improving strategies. His principal
"cosmeceuticals" are ascorbyl palmitate, the tocotrienols, CoQ-10, the
alpha-hydroxy acids (lactic and glycolic acids) and the beta-hydroxy acids
(salicylic acid... as in wintergreen oil), alpha-lipoic acid, and DMAE (dimethylaminoethanol).
Dr. Perricone subscribes to the cell
membrane hypothesis of aging, and has found that fat-soluble nutrients such as
ascorbyl palmitate are effective at minimizing such damage.
Dr. Perricone also describes two approaches to combating
aging that are currently in the pipeline.
One of these is the discovery of agents that will trap free
radicals until antioxidants can reach them. These substances are nitrones, the
first of which was phenylbutyl nitrone (PBN, 1990). A family of other nitrones
has since been synthesized that show 10 to 20 times the radical-trapping
activity of PBN. Their application to the skin will probably come sooner than
their whole-body application.
The other is telomerase. Dr. Perricone believes that
telomerase will be on the market in 5 to 10 years, and can be used for skin care
much sooner.
It interested me that Dr. Perricone is, in a way, a
gerontologist as well as a dermatologist, because this is what it takes to
restore aging skin.
Some Problems
that Attend Life Span Extension
I won't dwell expansively on this now because this will be
discussed in a follow-on article in next month's "Gift of Fire" (together
with whatever else I learn over the next month about anti-aging technology),
but here are a few thoughts in passing:
The first problem that comes to everyone's mind when the
subject of longer lifespans arises is that of overpopulation. However, after
thinking about it, I'm not sure that it's as serious a problem as it at first
seemed to me to be.
(1) Over the past century, average family size has increased from,
perhaps, 5 children per family to 2 children per family. This has occurred
without any official action... no "Bureau of Population Control", for
example.
(2) U. S. life expectancy has risen from 47 years in 1900 to 78 years in
2000. In other words, we've already weathered a 1.65 increase in average life
expectancy. A comparable increase between now and 2100 would see an average life
expectancy at birth of 129 years!
(3) The past thirty years has witnessed a sexual revolution, with sexual
relations beginning earlier, more children born out of wedlock, and many
unmarried couples living together. One might have expected this to precipitate a
population explosion, but it doesn't seem to have happened.
Modern Medicine Extends Lives
Clearly, any improvements in medicine--in fact, any medical
attention at all--has the effect of extending people's lives.
Every time a physician performs an appendectomy or
administers antibiotics to cure a life-threatening infection, she is prolonging
someone's life in a serious way. It would seem to me that medical intervention
in a potentially life-threatening situation would, hopefully, lead to life
extension.
Average Lifespans Will Rise Worldwide As
less-Industrialized Nations Catch Up with More- Industrialized Nations
Population growth rates have been declining for 30 years, and
populations are actually declining in some Western nations. (Part of our
population growth in the U. S. is a result of immigration.) The U. N. is
forecasting a global population peak of 9,000,000,000 by 2070, followed by a
gradual decline.
Future Problems May Engender Future Solutions
We tend to think in terms of the
solutions that are evident to us today. However, future technology and/or
future cultural changes may bring forth solutions that many of us wouldn't
casually foresee today. In 1952, most people wouldn't have foreseen The Pill, or
women working on construction crews.
Lifespan Extension Is a Touchy Subject
There are some people, including some
gerontologists, who are opposed to youth extension.... until they develop cancer
or pneumonia. I have yet to hear anyone say, "How wonderful! I've got
pneumonia. I won't try for an antibiotic. That way, I can reduce the population
by one, and I can get to Heaven sooner." I suppose it happens, but even my
most devout church friends pray for recovery rather than death.
Aging is inextricably intertwined with degenerative diseases,
and even somewhat intermeshed with vulnerability to infectious diseases, and
that's why I believe we'll opt to do everything in our power to conquer diseases
and to heal the sick.
Forcing people to die of degenerative diseases if a cure for
aging is at hand would seem to be, in my opinion, a form of genocide.
Please stay tuned to this station until next month's exciting
episode..