on Moore's Law
2/3/2003: Will We Ever Marry Robots?
1/29/2003: Another Look at 2050 has been updated and slightly extended.
1/28/2003: Intel promises 15 more years at the current rate of progress!
1/27/2003: I'm reducing type sizes because I'm realizing that a lot of viewers are using 800 X 600 displays, and this appears huge on such displays. It's still legible on 1,600 X 1,200 displays.
Tonight's discursion is Another Look at 2050, and it's discussion of two competing futures: one in which human beings behave much as they have always behaved, and the other, Dr. Moravec's robotically- dominated world. Hope you enjoy it.
1/26/2003: I've modified three previous articles: Computer Technology Forecast, Here Come the Robots - Again!, and Cancer Prevention Nutriceuticals?, and have color-coded the changes.
1/24/2003: I have extended the Computer Technology Forecast through 2030, with today's updates in green. Also, here is a Commercialization Feeler article that I just found on Dr. Moravec's website.
1/20/2003: Robotic Vision.
1/19/2003: How might we create sentient robots?
1/17/2003: I hadn't intended to discuss computer technology further, but it's the cornerstone of IT, AI and robotics technology. I've compared the forecasts I made in 1997, and have updated them from the vantage point of 2003.
1/15/2003: .Age of Robotics - 12: The Long-Term Roles of Robots (continued)
1/14/2003: .Age of Robotics - 11: The Long-Term Roles of Robots (continued)
1/13/2003: .Age of Robotics - 10: The Long-Term Roles of Robots (continued)
1/12/2003: Age of Robotics - 9: The Long-Term Roles of Robots
1/11/2003: . Age of Robotics - 8: What Could Robotics Mean to You?
1/10/2003: Age of Robotics - 7: Required Hardware Cost Vs. Time
1/9/2003: Age of Robotics - 6: What Do We Expect an Intelligent Robot To Be Able To Do?
1/6/2003: Age of Robotics - 5: Can Computers Become Fast Enough and Cheap Enough Soon Enough?
1/5/2002: Age of Robotics - 4: Computer Technology Forecast for Robotics
1/4/2003: Age of Robotics - 3: IBM/Sony/Toshiba's "Cell"
1/3/2003: Age of Robotics - 2: Here Come the Robots - Again!
1/2/2003: Age of Robotics - 1: Dr. Hans Moravec has just announced the successful completion of his three-year quest to develop an effective robotic visual navigation platform
11/23/2002: More Computer Technology Forecasting
11/13/2002: The Next Fifty Years - 1
11/14/2002: The Next Fifty Years - 2
11/15/2002: The Next Fifty Years - 3.
11/16/2002: The Next Fifty Years - 4
11/17/2002: The Next Fifty Years - 5
11/9/2002: How about a little Computer Technology Forecasting?
10/11/2002: Here Come the Robots!
9/26/2003: $199.95 Robotic Vacuum Cleaner
9/24/2003: "What Will the Future Be Like?"