4/26/2001:
Last night's second news article, "Are We Getting Smarter?",
is a companion article to a similar discussion, "New model of IQ development accounts for ways that
even small environmental changes can have a big impact, while
still crediting the influence of genes", found in Science_News_Miscellaneous.
These news articles discuss an article appearing in this month's
Psychological
Review (a journal of the American Psychological Association),
entitled, "Heritability
Estimates Versus Large Environmental Effects: The IQ Paradox Resolved
" by William T. Dickens and James R. Flynn.
As this page has discussed ad nauseum,
IQ scores have been rising in all the developed nations of the
world in which the administration of IQ tests has been sufficiently
widespread to detect this hefty increments. These gains,
although only a few tenths of an IQ point per year, have by now
reached massive proportions. In the United States, the average
citizen from 1918, if transported by a time machine to the year
2001, would score about 75 on a currently-normed IQ test. Conversely,
the average U. S. citizen today, taking a test like the 1916 revision
of the Stanford Binet or the Army Alpha Test, will score
about IQ 133---eligible for Mensa in 1918 (had Mensa existed in
1918)! Tonight's Newsweek article, above, says that IQ's have
increased 27 points in Britain since 1942 (4+ points per decade),
and 22 points in Argentina since 1964 (6 points per decade).
These gains have been greatest on the
culture-reduced tests that are held to be emblematic of fluid
intelligence, and least on the vocabulary-arithmetic-general knowledge
tests that are more culturally influenced. On the Raven Progressive
Matrices, a pattern-eduction test that is considered the best
of breed, above-average British subjects born in 1877 averaged
a score of 23 correct answers to the test's 60 questions, corresponding
to a present-day IQ of 74, while matched British subjects
born in 1967 averaged 55 right, earning an IQ of 121. These
gains are deemed too large to be genetic in origin. On the other
hand, attempts to create durable IQ gains by manipulating the
environment have been virtually unsuccessful.
One of the consequences of the Flynn Effect
is that the apparent decline in the IQ's of people as they age
is a function of IQ tests being made more dificult rather than
of age-related cognitive declines. If the elderly are given IQ
tests from the era in which they were first tested, they will
score as high on such tests as they did in their youth.
Dr. Flynn has argued against these rises
in IQ representing a true rise in intelligence, observing that
if our grandparents had such low IQ's, they wouldn't have been
able to run the world. Apparently, however, he has changed his
mind. In this landmark paper, he and Dr. Dickens have concluded
that stimulating environments, extended over long periods of time,
can boost IQ's by very large amounts. Perhaps the brain is like
a muscle: use it or lose it. Drs. Flynn and Dickens have concluded
that an intellectually stimulating environment may feed on itself,
amplifying native propensities toward intellectual prowess. When
an individual, as an adult, seeks out mental stimulation and a
mentally stimulating surround, they may retain and potentiate
their mental powers through positive feedback loops. Similarly,
unhappy experiences may lead to negative feedback loops. They
postulate that today's world is much more demanding and stimulating
than the world of 1901. The authors say, that improving
IQs in childhood is not the way to raise the IQs of adults. Adult
IQ is influenced mainly by adult environment.
The researchers state,
"People's IQ's are affected by both environment
and genes but....their environments are matched to their IQ's."
The researchers postulate that genetic influence
causes people to seek out certain environments. "A naturally
verbal toddler will likely elicit hour after hour of reading from
her parents. 'That will amplify her cognitive gifts even if her
'verbal IQ genes' are only the slightest bit smarter than other
kids'." This becomes a positive feedback loop. "If you
have a biological edge in intelligence, for instance, you will
likely enjoy school, books, puzzles, asking questions and thinking
abstractly. All of which will tend to amplify your innate brainpower.
'Higher IQ leads one into better environments, causing still higher
IQ,' say Dickens and Flynn. Thanks to that multiplier effect,
you will likely study even more, haunt the library, pester adults
with questions and choose bright peers as friends, boosting your
intelligence yet again." A modest genetic advantage
turns into a huge performance advantage, says Dickens.
"But if you start out with a slight deficit in IQ,
you may get frustrated by reading and cogitating, stumble in school
and grow to hate learning, reinforcing your genetic bent. A modest
initial difference again gets pumped up."
The Newsweek article goes on to say that an
enriched environment will produce approximately the same IQ gains
in someone with average intelligence as they will for someone
with an inborn edge on intelligence. In other words, you can overcome an intelligence
deficit by seeking an intellectually stimulating environment, and although you may start from a lower level, your
gains in intelligence will be as great as those who enter the
"program" with a higher IQ.
When the gifted child grows up, what happens
then depends upon whther the gifted adult enters into a stimulating
mental environment.
To some up their thesis, "genes working
though environment account for the lion's share of individual
differences in IQ, but
only because genes lead you to certain life experiences which
collectively form your environment. It is that environment which
directly fosters IQ differences."
These are revolutionary ideas, and they will have
to run a gauntlet of critical review. What happens to severely-gifted
children reared in families in which there is no emphasis upon
matters of the mind? I'm led to think of Ellen Winner's Gifted
Children, "Myths and Realities", in which she describes
two children, Charles and Eitan, who were extremely fond of drawing.
Both boys loved to draw, and drew incessantly. Eitan was a drawing
prodigy, and his drawings show an understanding of perspective
and realistic details. Charles, on the other hand, drew only crudely
compared with Eitan. Charles was a little ahead of his age level,
but his comparable efforts didn't yield comparable results. Other
example's might be Bo Jackson's and Michael Jordan's attempts
to become baseball players. "Practice makes perfect"
works only up to a point.
Dr. Flynn appears to me to be a very conscientious
researcher who's seeking the truth, whatever it may be. Unfortunately,
Flynn's and Dicken's paper isn't available to the public, and
there doesn't seem to be a lot of reportorial reaction to it yet.
This is an extremely important paper, and it will be interesting
to see what responses it elicits.
4/21/2001: Although I worked several hours on what
I'm trying to assemble, I only scratched the surface. Maybe I
should present my questions piecemeal, which I'll try to do in
the morning. Today, I worked on the Flynn Effect, trying to organize
various perspectives and their consequences.
4/20/2001: What I intend to present is going to
take more time than I can devote to it this evening. Basically
what it's going to say is that it seems to me that there are a
number of unanswered questions regarding very high IQ's, and that
there seems to have been little effort made to explore this topic.
Miraca Gross observes that she is the first to investigate the
profoundly gifted since Leta Hollingworth. In her book, "Gifted
Grownups", Mary Lou Streznewski says that she is the first
person to write a book discussing the problems and characteristics
of gifted adults(!).
Tonight's lead article, "Researchers
lay plans to build 500-GHz transistors ", concerns
the use of exotic materials such as gallium arsenide and indium
antimonide. However, considering the fact that ten years ago,
the highest transistors speeds thought to be theoretically possible
with these same exotic materials was only 500 MHz, this is a 1,000-fold
improvement in 10 years, at least for individual transistors.
These results are very important because computers can't really
go much faster than their clock speeds when running single-stream,
serial computations, and they can only go at their clock speeds
by pipelining data in a kind of assembly line arrangement. (Of
course, they can process in parallel many, many times as fast
as long as they can process serially as long as the jobs they're
performing lend themselves to parallel computation.) It's interesting
to note that Hughes Electronics hit 340 GHz in 1992, Nippon Electric
reached 350 GHz in 1998, and now, Fujitsu has gotten to 386 to
398 GHz in 2001. They're obviously straining at gnats over a period
of years to get to 400 GHz 500 GHz might be an elastic limit for
transistor speeds. Still, it would allow some headroom.
Mega
Test Correlations with Other Tests
4/18/2001: The Kearneys have been kind enough to
forward the first item on tonight's Science News. It may complement
last night's article about the cyber eel. Please click here
for the rest of tonight's discussion.